This is a graduate-level course focused on techniques and models in modern discrete probability. Topics include: the first and second moment methods, martingales, concentration inequalities, branching ...

Experts at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts said their new Probability of Fire model could outperform ... are sometimes responsible. For example, the conventional fire ...

A prediction model from the global financial services firm JPMorgan Chase, analyzed by Bloomberg, suggests that the probability of an economic downturn has grown to 31 percent from 17 percent at ...