The attempt to calculate a null probability for a given degree of matching among a set of phylogenetic area cladograms (or between a cladogram representing a geographic hypothesis and a set of ...

How likely you think something is to happen depends on what you already believe about the circumstances. That is the simple concept behind Bayes' rule, an approach to calculating probabilities, first ...

The Mathematical Gazette is the original journal of the Mathematical Association and it is now over a century old. Its readership is a mixture of school teachers, college and university lecturers, ...

Calculating probabilities can be tricky, with subtle changes in context giving quite different results. I was reminded of this recently after setting BrainTwister #10 for New Scientist readers, which ...

Math students may not blink at calculating probabilities, measuring the area beneath curves or evaluating matrices, yet they often find themselves at sea when first confronted with writing proofs.

As speculation mounts about when the Federal Reserve will alter its target for the federal funds rate, its primary tool for steering the economy these days, trading in financial futures markets offer ...